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Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 game between Paraiso EC and Guarai SC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paraiso EC
6%
Draws
4%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paraiso EC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarai SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Guarai SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.4 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 24, 2012 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
5:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 83 / 100
Guarai SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Paraiso EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guarai SC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Guarai SC
1.4 Goals Scored 3.13
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis1475219:1226
2Interporto1465325:2323
3Palmas1471623:1722
4Gurupi1463519:1521
5Paraiso EC1455419:1620
6Araguaina1453618:2118
7Tocantins1442823:3314
8Guarai SC1432920:2911