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Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

5 - 1
FT
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 game between Paraiso EC and Guarai SC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Paraiso EC
30%
Draws
62%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Guarai SC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarai SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Guarai SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.62 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 24, 2012 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
5:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 10 / 100
Guarai SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Paraiso EC's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Paraiso EC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Guarai SC
0.4 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
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Guarai SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)