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Paraiso EC vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gurupi in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Paraiso EC
30%
Draws
54%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gurupi lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Gurupi taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Gurupi
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 14
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.06 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Gurupi
0:3
Mar 31, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 8, 2017 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
0:1
Mar 21, 2017 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Gurupi
0:0
Jun 4, 2016 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 10 / 100
Gurupi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Paraiso EC scored in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Gurupi conceded in 57% of 40 recent games.

Solid form: Paraiso EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Gurupi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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