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Paraiso EC vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paraiso EC
40%
Draws
29%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Sparta lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 15%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC SD Sparta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs SD Sparta
0:3
Apr 15, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Paraiso EC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 31 / 100
SD Sparta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Sparta conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Paraiso EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Paraiso EC found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS SD Sparta
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
83% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360