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Paraiso EC vs SD Sparta

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

0 - 3
FT
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Paraiso EC
35%
Draws
49%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Sparta lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC SD Sparta
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.62 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs SD Sparta
0:3
Apr 15, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Paraiso EC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 10 / 100
SD Sparta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Sparta conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Paraiso EC's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Paraiso EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS SD Sparta
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
18 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 0
Paraiso EC
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SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)