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Paraiso EC W vs Ypiranga AP W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraiso EC W play Ypiranga AP W in the Brasileiro A3 Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraiso EC W averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Ypiranga AP W averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Paraiso EC W won 1, Ypiranga AP W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Paraiso EC W and 1.32 for Ypiranga AP W. This points to a Ypiranga AP W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Paraiso EC W
35%
Draws
36%
Ypiranga AP W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga AP W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraiso EC W picked up more points recently compared to Ypiranga AP W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Paraiso EC W Clean Sheet 18%
Ypiranga AP W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC W Ypiranga AP W
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 1 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Paraiso EC W vs Ypiranga AP W
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
Paraiso EC W vs Ypiranga AP W
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
Ypiranga AP W vs Paraiso EC W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraiso EC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giselle
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingrid
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Ypiranga AP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paula
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC W 30 / 100
Ypiranga AP W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC W Ypiranga AP W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ypiranga AP W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraiso EC W attacking → ← attacking Ypiranga AP W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC W scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

Ypiranga AP W let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Paraiso EC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ypiranga AP W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 17
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63