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Paranavai-PR vs Laranja Mecanica Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Sun, Jun 22, 2025
2 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Leite A.
80' Event
Filipe R. R.
90' Event
Gonzaga W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paranavai-PR
35%
Draws
25%
Laranja Mecanica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Paranavai-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Paranavai-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Laranja Mecanica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Laranja Mecanica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranavai-PR Laranja Mecanica
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.32 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Paranavai-PR
1:2
May 2, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Laranja Mecanica
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Laranja Mecanica
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Laranja Mecanica
2:2
Jun 15, 2025 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Paranavai-PR
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranavai-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzaga W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Laranja Mecanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filipe R. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranavai-PR 41 / 100
Laranja Mecanica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranavai-PR Laranja Mecanica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranavai-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paranavai-PR scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Laranja Mecanica let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paranavai-PR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paranavai-PR VS Laranja Mecanica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranavai-PR

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 7

Laranja Mecanica

(Away)
09 May
Laranja Mecanica
1 : 2
Paranavai-PR
02 May
Paranavai-PR
0 : 0
Laranja Mecanica
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
19 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Toledo 0
Galo Maringa 10
Nacional PR 2
Patriotas 1
Laranja Mecanica 4
Paranavai-PR 5
Batel 2
Foz do Iguacu 5
Semi-finals
Galo Maringa 7
Nacional PR 2
Paranavai-PR 2
Foz do Iguacu 3
Final
Galo Maringa 5
Foz do Iguacu 3