Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paranoa vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

2 - 0
FT
Legiao Logo

Legiao

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Russo
65' Event
Andrey
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paranoa in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Paranoa
15%
Draws
21%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Legiao haven't matched Paranoa's recent run of results.
  • Legiao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 23%
Legiao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa Legiao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Legiao
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrey
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Legiao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 24 / 100
Legiao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Legiao conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Paranoa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Legiao registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS Legiao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 6

Legiao

(Away)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)