Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paranoa vs Taguatinga

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2023
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

2 - 2
FT
Taguatinga Logo

Taguatinga

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Leonardo
59' Event
Sousa Rodrigues A.
Own Goal
66' Event
Sousa Rodrigues A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2023 game between Paranoa and Taguatinga finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paranoa
30%
Draws
47%
Taguatinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paranoa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Taguatinga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 20%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa Taguatinga
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2023 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Taguatinga
2:2
Jan 30, 2022 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Taguatinga
4:2
Mar 8, 2020 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Taguatinga
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Taguatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 10 / 100
Taguatinga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa Taguatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Paranoa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Taguatinga conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Paranoa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS Taguatinga
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 7

Taguatinga

(Away)
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
12 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
05 Oct
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Legiao
29 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 1
Sobradinho
23 Sept
SESP Brasilia
0 : 0
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Brasilia 9 5 3 1 13:6 18
2 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 18:9 15
3 Capital 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 Paranoa 9 4 3 2 14:15 15
5 Gama 9 4 2 3 8:6 14
6 Ceilandia 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
7 Samambaia 9 4 1 4 16:16 13
8 Santa Maria 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
9 Taguatinga 9 2 1 6 12:19 7
10 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
Promotion - Brasiliense 2023 (Play Offs)