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Paraty vs Paduano EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Paraty Logo

Paraty

0 - 3
FT
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

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Match Events

45' Event
45' Event
62' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Paraty and Paduano EC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paduano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
15%
Draws
85%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paduano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paduano EC come out ahead of Paraty on wins alone.
  • Paduano EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Paraty Clean Sheet 12%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Paduano EC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Carioca B2
Paraty vs Paduano EC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 10 / 100
Paduano EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Paduano EC let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Paduano EC's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Paduano EC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
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Paduano EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
2 Cardoso Moreira 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
3 Santa Cruz RJ 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Paduano EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Serra Macaense 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 7 de Abril 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
7 Belford Roxo 6 2 3 1 12:6 9
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Campos AA 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
10 Barra Mansa 6 1 3 2 6:10 6
11 Buzios 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
12 Paraty 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)