Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Carioca C 2025 game between Paraty and Rio Barra finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Paraty come out ahead of Rio Barra on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paraty | Rio Barra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paraty Compare
Rio Barra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Paraty's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rio Barra conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Paraty stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Paraty
(Home)Rio Barra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paraty | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 39:14 | 27 |
| 3 | Riostrense | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Uniao Central | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 34:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventus RJ | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:9 | 24 |
| 6 | EC Vera Cruz | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Angra dos Reis | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Rio Barra | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 9 | Buzios | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16:33 | 12 |
| 10 | Duque Caxiense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 11 | Caac Brazil | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10:35 | 9 |
| 12 | Mesquita | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:28 | 7 |
| 13 | Barcelona EC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5:33 | 4 |