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Parauapebas vs Gaviao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Parauapebas Logo

Parauapebas

0 - 1
FT
Gaviao Logo

Gaviao

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaviao in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaviao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Parauapebas
30%
Draws
39%
Gaviao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gaviao at 1 per game, Parauapebas at 0.81.
  • Win probability leans Parauapebas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 20%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parauapebas Gaviao
Matches Played 26 22
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Parauapebas
2:2
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Parauapebas vs Gaviao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parauapebas 42 / 100
Gaviao 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parauapebas Gaviao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parauapebas scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Gaviao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Parauapebas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parauapebas VS Gaviao
1 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parauapebas

(Home)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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Gaviao

(Away)
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)