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Parauapebas vs Sport Belem Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Parauapebas
20%
Draws
42%
Sport Belem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Belem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Parauapebas haven't matched Sport Belem's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Sport Belem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Parauapebas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 11%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parauapebas Sport Belem
Matches Played 26 19
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.81 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Paraense A3
Parauapebas vs Sport Belem
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parauapebas 35 / 100
Sport Belem 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parauapebas Sport Belem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Belem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parauapebas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Sport Belem has conceded goals in 68% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Parauapebas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parauapebas VS Sport Belem
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parauapebas

(Home)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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Sport Belem

(Away)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tesla 4
Pedreira 1
Venus 2
Pinheirense 1
Parauapebas 2
Sport Belem 0
Belenense 1
Gaviao 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -