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Paredes vs AD Fafe Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Rocha V.
54' Event
Carlos Daniel
Penalty Missed
56'
Erik

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Paredes and AD Fafe finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paredes
15%
Draws
39%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AD Fafe have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Paredes are scoring more at 1.72.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes AD Fafe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Paredes
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Paredes
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 42 / 100
AD Fafe 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paredes's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Paredes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AD Fafe let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS AD Fafe
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
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AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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