Sport Picks
Paredes vs Amarante FC
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes 
Match Events
58'
58'
Vivas S.
60'
60'
Sub
Ventura In: Conceicao M.
Out: Ventura
60'
60'
Sub
Veiga D. In: Lemos I. M.
Out: Veiga D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Amarante FC lately — more wins on the board than Paredes.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Amarante FC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Paredes Clean Sheet 17%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Amarante FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Amarante FC
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 3
Amarante FC vs Paredes
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs Amarante FC
1:3
Nov 26, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Paredes vs Amarante FC
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Paredes
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 36 / 100
Amarante FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Amarante FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AMA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Paredes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Paredes scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Amarante FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS Amarante FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0 Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0 Paredes
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
12 Apr
Paredes
4 : 1 Braga B
08 Mar
Paredes
0 : 0 AD Fafe
22 Feb
Paredes
3 : 1 Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 3
Amarante FC
(Away) 22 Jul
Chaves
2 : 1 Amarante FC
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
10 May
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Santarem
01 May
Trofense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
26 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Chaves
2 : 1 Amarante FC
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
01 May
Trofense
0 : 0 Amarante FC
19 Apr
Mafra
1 : 4 Amarante FC
12 Apr
Academica
1 : 1 Amarante FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
