Sport Picks
Paredes vs Oliveira do Douro
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
43'
43'
Murilo Rosa
(Penalty)
53'
53'
Monteiro N.
77'
77'
Joao Pelegrini
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Paredes and Oliveira do Douro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of Oliveira do Douro on wins alone.
- Paredes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Oliveira do Douro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs Paredes
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs Oliveira do Douro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paredes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Oliveira do Douro Compare
Top Goalscorer Monteiro N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 95 / 100
Oliveira do Douro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Oliveira do Douro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oliveira do Douro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Paredes scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Paredes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3 Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 4
Oliveira do Douro
(Away) 07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1 Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0 Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2 Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4 Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0 Oliveira do Douro
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4 Oliveira do Douro
18 Feb
ACDR Lamelas
2 : 1 Oliveira do Douro
04 Feb
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 0 Oliveira do Douro
21 Jan
Gondomar
1 : 0 Oliveira do Douro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarante FC | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 40:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Sao Joao de Ver | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 27:18 | 45 |
| 3 | Gondomar | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 28:20 | 43 |
| 4 | AD Marco 09 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 29:22 | 41 |
| 5 | Rebordosa | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 27:23 | 36 |
| 6 | Paredes | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31:25 | 35 |
| 7 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:26 | 35 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Beira Mar | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 31:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Florgrade | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 24:24 | 33 |
| 11 | Oliveira do Douro | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 26 |
| 12 | Valadares Gaia FC | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 22:47 | 24 |
| 13 | ACDR Lamelas | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 19:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Vila Mea | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | 22 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)
