Sport Picks
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes 
Match Events
7'
7'
Fernandes G.
Assist: Moreno M. A.
8'
8'
Moreno M. A.
Assist: Rodrigues D.
23'
23'
Sub
Fernandes G. In: Ze Oliveira
Out: Fernandes G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Paredes and Sao Joao de Ver finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paredes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Paredes's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Paredes Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Sao Joao de Ver |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Paredes
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Paredes
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paredes Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandes G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sao Joao de Ver Compare
Top Goalscorer Carvalho J. O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 85 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Sao Joao de Ver
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paredes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Paredes scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Sao Joao de Ver has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS Sao Joao de Ver
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 01 Nov
Paredes
2 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
24 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Trofense
18 Oct
Paredes
1 : 0 Famalicao
10 Oct
SC Vianense
3 : 3 Paredes
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Paredes
2 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
24 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Trofense
18 Oct
Paredes
1 : 0 Famalicao
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
Page 1 of 3
Sao Joao de Ver
(Away) 01 Nov
Paredes
2 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
25 Oct
SC Vianense
1 : 3 Sao Joao de Ver
11 Oct
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1 Varzim
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0 AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Paredes
2 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
25 Oct
SC Vianense
1 : 3 Sao Joao de Ver
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Leca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Sao Joao de Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Caldas SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Santarem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Vitoria Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
