Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Duarte D. P.
57'
57'
Sub
Fonseca R. In: Lemos I. M.
Out: Fonseca R.
57'
57'
Sub
Zacarias V. In: Moreno M. A.
Out: Zacarias V.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Paredes and Varzim finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of Varzim on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
- Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Varzim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Varzim
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3
Varzim vs Paredes
2:2
Mar 12, 2023 Liga 3
Paredes vs Varzim
1:0
Dec 2, 2022 Liga 3
Varzim vs Paredes
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 50 / 100
Varzim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Varzim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varzim has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Paredes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Paredes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS Varzim
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0 Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
12 Apr
Paredes
4 : 1 Braga B
08 Mar
Paredes
0 : 0 AD Fafe
Page 1 of 3
Varzim
(Away) 02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1 Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0 Varzim
16 May
Santarem
2 : 2 Varzim
10 May
Varzim
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1 Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0 Varzim
16 May
Santarem
2 : 2 Varzim
03 May
Academica
1 : 0 Varzim
18 Apr
Trofense
0 : 1 Varzim
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
