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Parham vs Fort Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2013/2014 game between Parham and Fort Road finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Parham
15%
Draws
36%
Fort Road
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Parham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Parham are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Parham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parham Clean Sheet 10%
Fort Road Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parham Fort Road
Matches Played 42 34
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.98 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2016 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Fort Road
1:0
Nov 28, 2015 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Parham
0:3
Dec 20, 2014 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Fort Road
3:0
Oct 25, 2014 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Parham
0:2
Dec 15, 2013 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Fort Road
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parham 47 / 100
Fort Road 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parham Fort Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Road let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Parham found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (42 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Fort Road's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Parham VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parham

(Home)
30 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 5
Parham
24 Mar
Old Road
7 : 2
Parham
09 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 0
Parham
01 Mar
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Parham
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
Page 1 of 9

Fort Road

(Away)
11 Apr
Old Road
2 : 1
Fort Road
05 Apr
Fort Road
4 : 0
Willikies
13 Feb
Fort Road
3 : 6
Ottos Rangers
06 Feb
Pigotts Bullets
5 : 1
Fort Road
30 Jan
Parham
1 : 0
Fort Road
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAP 18 14 4 0 43:13 46
2 Parham 18 12 2 4 38:18 38
3 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 1 6 38:20 34
4 Grenades 18 8 3 7 34:23 27
5 Bassa SC 18 7 4 7 30:28 25
6 Fort Road 18 7 2 9 34:39 23
7 Old Road 18 5 7 6 25:23 22
8 Willikies 18 5 2 11 17:31 17
9 All Saints United 18 4 5 9 17:40 17
10 Potters FC 18 1 2 15 16:57 5
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2013/2014 (Relegation)