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Parham vs Liberta

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 game between Parham and Liberta finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Parham
20%
Draws
16%
Liberta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Parham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Parham a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Parham Clean Sheet 10%
Liberta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parham Liberta
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
7:1
Jan 14, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
2:2
Mar 1, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Parham
4:4
Nov 4, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parham 83 / 100
Liberta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parham Liberta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberta has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Parham scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Liberta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parham VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parham

(Home)
30 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 5
Parham
24 Mar
Old Road
7 : 2
Parham
09 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 0
Parham
01 Mar
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Parham
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
Page 1 of 8

Liberta

(Away)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 18 16 0 2 67:14 48
2 All Saints United 18 15 1 2 64:16 46
3 Aston Villa 18 12 1 5 46:24 37
4 Old Road 18 9 7 2 44:24 34
5 SAP 18 9 2 7 54:44 29
6 Swetes 18 8 4 6 29:34 28
7 Greenbay Hoppers 18 7 4 7 29:32 25
8 Ottos Rangers 18 8 1 9 30:40 25
9 Tryum 18 8 1 9 27:37 25
10 Willikies 18 7 3 8 32:29 24
11 Empire FC 18 7 3 8 42:42 24
12 Parham 18 7 3 8 32:36 24
13 Pigotts Bullets 18 6 5 7 21:26 23
14 Blue Jays 18 3 1 14 18:48 10
15 Liberta 18 1 3 14 22:67 6
16 Five Islands 18 0 3 15 15:59 3
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)