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Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Voronezh

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jan 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pari Nizhny Novgorod host Fakel Voronezh in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Pari Nizhny Novgorod at 1.13 goals for, 1.63 against; Fakel Voronezh at 1.63 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring Fakel Voronezh. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
20%
Draws
38%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Pari Nizhny Novgorod haven't matched Fakel Voronezh's recent run of results.
  • Pari Nizhny Novgorod are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 14%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pari Nizhny Novgorod Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Voronezh
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel Voronezh
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 41 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Fakel Voronezh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Recent resilience: Pari Nizhny Novgorod stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS Fakel Voronezh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%