Sport Picks
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod 
Match Events
7'
7'
Grulev V.
9'
9'
Grulev V.
21'
21'
Grulev V.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Neftekhimik finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pari Nizhny Novgorod come out ahead of Neftekhimik on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pari Nizhny Novgorod's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Neftekhimik
5:1
Nov 25, 2020 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:1
Aug 16, 2020 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Neftekhimik
0:1
Oct 27, 2019 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Neftekhimik
0:1
Jul 13, 2019 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Grulev V.
3 Goals Assists Leader Popolitov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Neftekhimik Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukba E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 95 / 100
Neftekhimik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Neftekhimik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).
Recent resilience: Pari Nizhny Novgorod stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Neftekhimik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS Neftekhimik
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
(Home) 10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
24 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 1 Neftekhimik
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Neftekhimik
(Away) 09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
24 Aug
R. Volgograd
0 : 1 Neftekhimik
08 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 1 Neftekhimik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
