Sport Picks

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

Russian Cup Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Russian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pari Nizhny Novgorod have averaged 2.41 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Shinnik Yaroslavl's 1.29 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.25, favoring Pari Nizhny Novgorod. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

20%

Draws

28%

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pari Nizhny Novgorod come out ahead of Shinnik Yaroslavl on wins alone.
Model gives Pari Nizhny Novgorod a 52% chance of winning this.
Pari Nizhny Novgorod have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Pari Nizhny Novgorod have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 19%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pari Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	15	10
Draws	5	15
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	2.41	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 FNL

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

3:0

Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod

1:1

Mar 14, 2021 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod

1:3

Sep 19, 2020 FNL

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

3:0

Nov 3, 2019 FNL

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 85 / 100

Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shinnik Yaroslavl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS Shinnik Yaroslavl

2.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Home)

10 Oct

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

5 : 0

Yenisey

27 Sept

CSKA Moscow

1 : 3

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

17 Sept

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

6 : 0

Leningradets

13 Sept

Torpedo Moscow

1 : 2

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

09 Sept

Dynamo Stavropol

1 : 2

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Page 1 of 6

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Away)

10 Oct

Shinnik Yaroslavl

2 : 0

Tekstilshtik

27 Sept

Shinnik Yaroslavl

0 : 0

SKA Khabarovsk

18 Sept

Shinnik Yaroslavl

0 : 1

Kamaz

14 Sept

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1 : 1

Ural

10 Sept

Shinnik Yaroslavl

2 : 0

Torpedo Moscow

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Metallurg Asha 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Khimik -

TBD -

Nosta -

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg -

TBD -

Luki-Energiya -

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0

FK Tosno 3

TBD -

Cherepovets -

TBD -

Ural -

Kristall 2

Krasnoye Znamya 3

TBD -

D. Bryansk -

Strogino Moscow -

TBD -

Vladimir -

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar -

TBD -

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -

Bomik 1

Broke Boys 2

TBD -

Kirov -

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

Mashuk -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

TBD -

Anzhi 1

Izberbash 5

Angust Nazran -

TBD -

Maykop -

TBD -

Yenisey -

TBD -

Kursk -

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

Salyut-Belgorod 0

Kaluga -

TBD -

Iskra Smolensk -

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 3

FC Irkutsk 0

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Temp Barnaul 3

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Spartak Nalchik -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk -

2Drots 2

FC Oryol 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 3

Kosmos 2

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Tyumen -

FK Izhevsk -

TBD -

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 3

Penza 2

TBD -

Spartak Tambov -

Kvant Obninsk -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

Anri Vladivostok 1

Dynamo Barnaul 2

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/16-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Saratov 3

Khimik 2

Nosta 3

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Luki-Energiya 2

FK Tosno 0

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 2

D. Bryansk 0

Strogino Moscow 0

Vladimir 3

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 2

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0

Broke Boys 0

Kirov 2

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 2

Mashuk 1

Nart Cherkessk 1

Dynamo Stavropol 2

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0

Izberbash 3

Angust Nazran 0

Maykop 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Kaluga 5

Iskra Smolensk 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Chita 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 3

KDV Tomsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FK Pobeda 0

Spartak Nalchik 4

Alania Vladikavkaz 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 1

M. Lipetsk 0

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

2Drots 2

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC 10 1

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 2

FK Tver 0

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Tyumen 1

FK Izhevsk 1

Torpedo Miass 2

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 1

Spartak Tambov 2

Kvant Obninsk 0

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

1/8-finals

Saratov 2

Nosta 1

TBD -

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya 4

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 1

Vladimir 0

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 4

Kirov 5

TBD -

Kamaz -

Astrakhan 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

Izberbash 1

Maykop 2

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 1

Kaluga 2

TBD -

Ufa -

FC Chertanovo Moscow 4

KDV Tomsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3

Spartak Nalchik 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 3

2Drots 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 1

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

Torpedo Miass 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Spartak Tambov 1

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 0

Dynamo Barnaul 5

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Quarter-finals

Saratov 1

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 2

Ural 1

Krasnoye Znamya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 4

Kirov 1

Kamaz 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2

Torpedo Moscow 0

Maykop 1

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 1

Ufa 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Neftekhimik 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Arsenal Tula 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 1

Veles Moscow 0

Dynamo Petersburg 2

PFC Sochi 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

R. Volgograd 0

Ryazan 0

S. Kostroma 2

Dynamo Barnaul 0

Chelyabinsk 2

Semi-finals

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Kirov -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

Yenisey -

Kaluga -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Tekstilshtik -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

S. Kostroma -

Chelyabinsk -

Final

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Shinnik Yaroslavl

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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