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Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA Khabarovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sarveli V.
27' Event
Bliev E.
Own Goal
31'
Sub
Bliev E. In: Markitesov D.
Out: Bliev E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Pari Nizhny Novgorod and SKA Khabarovsk finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
35%
Draws
21%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pari Nizhny Novgorod come out ahead of SKA Khabarovsk on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Pari Nizhny Novgorod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 16%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pari Nizhny Novgorod SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.41 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA Khabarovsk
4:2
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:0
Apr 11, 2021 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:1
Oct 17, 2020 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0
Mar 15, 2020 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarveli V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudkov Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcalde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motpan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 84 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pari Nizhny Novgorod SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SKA Khabarovsk has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS SKA Khabarovsk
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Home)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 PFC Sochi 13 8 2 3 22:14 26
3 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
4 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
5 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
6 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 13 4 6 3 16:14 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)