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Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pari Nizhny Novgorod play Ufa in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pari Nizhny Novgorod averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Ufa averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Pari Nizhny Novgorod won 2, Ufa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.13 for Ufa. This points to a Pari Nizhny Novgorod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
29%
Draws
34%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pari Nizhny Novgorod picked up more points recently compared to Ufa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 21%
Ufa Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pari Nizhny Novgorod Ufa
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
2:1
Jun 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
2:2
Mar 12, 2022 Premier League
Ufa vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:0
Aug 14, 2021 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Russian Cup
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Grulev V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ufa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakuev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist A
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 38 / 100
Ufa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Ufa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pari Nizhny Novgorod or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pari Nizhny Novgorod attacking → ← attacking Ufa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Ufa let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ufa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88