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Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charlety, Paris
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Match Events

15'
Sadi A.
19' Event
Donat N.
Penalty Missed
53'
Dode E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Paris 13 Atletico
30%
Draws
31%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paris 13 Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paris 13 Atletico lately — more wins on the board than Aubagne FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 68%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris 13 Atletico Aubagne FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC
0:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris 13 Atletico 41 / 100
Aubagne FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris 13 Atletico Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris 13 Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aubagne FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Paris 13 Atletico scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Paris 13 Atletico remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Aubagne FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paris 13 Atletico VS Aubagne FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris 13 Atletico

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

Aubagne FC

(Away)
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)