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Paris FC vs Gueugnon Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2010/2011
Fri, Apr 15, 2011
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paris FC host Gueugnon in the National 2010/2011. This has Paris FC written all over it on paper. Paris FC have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Gueugnon's 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Paris FC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2011, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 1.06) point toward Paris FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Paris FC
20%
Draws
17%
Gueugnon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Gueugnon haven't matched Paris FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paris FC a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC Gueugnon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.48 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2011 Ligue 3
Paris FC vs Gueugnon
3:0
Nov 5, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Paris FC
1:1
May 21, 2010 Ligue 3
Paris FC vs Gueugnon
2:0
Aug 7, 2009 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Paris FC
2:0
Mar 20, 2009 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Paris FC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 85 / 100
Gueugnon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC Gueugnon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gueugnon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Paris FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Paris FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

Gueugnon

(Away)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)