Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Jean Bouin

Lille

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paris FC play Lille in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paris FC averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Lille averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Paris FC won 0, Lille won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Paris FC and 1.19 for Lille. This points to a Lille double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Paris FC

24%

Draws

44%

Lille

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Paris FC picked up more points recently compared to Lille.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Paris FC Clean Sheet 20%

Lille Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paris FC	Lille
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	16
Draws	10	5
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.3	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.3	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Lille

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1

Lille vs Paris FC

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Mar 28, 1979 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Lille

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sep 22, 1978 Ligue 1

Lille vs Paris FC

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 33 / 100

Lille 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paris FC Lille

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lille or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paris FC attacking → ← attacking Lille

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lille let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Paris FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lille lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 53

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17