Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paris FC vs Monaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Sinayoko L.
Assist: Lopez M.
44' Event
Sinayoko L.
Assist: Simon M.
46'
Sub
Chergui S. In: Mbow M.
Out: Chergui S.

AI Match Summary

Paris FC in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Paris FC
15%
Draws
37%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Paris FC haven't matched Monaco's recent run of results.
  • Paris FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 16%
Monaco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC Monaco
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Monaco
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Monaco
4:1
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Paris FC
0:1
Jul 18, 2015 Club Friendly
Paris FC vs Monaco
0:0
Feb 4, 1979 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Monaco
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinayoko L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pagis P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogun F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 39 / 100
Monaco 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC Monaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paris FC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Monaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Paris FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS Monaco
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC

(Home)
01 Nov
Paris FC
3 : 1
Monaco
24 Oct
Lens
2 : 1
Paris FC
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

Monaco

(Away)
01 Nov
Paris FC
3 : 1
Monaco
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2
Monaco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)