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Paris FC vs Nice

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ndayishimiye Y.
21' Event
Sinayoko L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Chergui S.
Assist: Kebbal I.

AI Match Summary

Paris FC in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paris FC
35%
Draws
14%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paris FC lately — more wins on the board than Nice.
  • Win probability leans Paris FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 68%
Nice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC Nice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Nice
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Nice
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Paris FC
1:1
May 5, 1979 Ligue 1
Nice vs Paris FC
5:0
Oct 21, 1978 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Nice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chergui S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchetti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 68 / 100
Nice 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Paris FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Paris FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Nice has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS Nice
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
7 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
8 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
9 PSG 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Brest 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
11 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
14 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
15 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
16 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
17 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)