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Paris FC vs Rennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paris FC host Rennes in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rennes have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Paris FC have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Paris FC have won 0 to Rennes's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Rennes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paris FC
30%
Draws
27%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paris FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 18%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC Rennes
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Paris FC
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Rennes
0:1
Mar 27, 1974 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Rennes
0:0
Oct 27, 1973 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Paris FC
1:0
Jan 17, 1973 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Rennes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 85 / 100
Rennes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Paris FC scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Rennes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS Rennes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
02 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Rennes
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
8 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
10 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
12 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)