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Paris FC W vs Lens W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Charlety
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
David T.
46'
Sub
Polito C. In: Bertrand C.
Out: Polito C.
46'
Sub
Le Moguedec A. In: Scott S.
Out: Le Moguedec A.

AI Match Summary

Paris FC W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paris FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paris FC W have won more games recently than Lens W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paris FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paris FC W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Lens W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W Lens W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Lens W
6:2
Feb 4, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Lens W
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Lens W vs Paris FC W
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs Paris FC W
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Paris FC W vs Lens W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hocine C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lens W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 85 / 100
Lens W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W Lens W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lens W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Paris FC W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Paris FC W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS Lens W
2 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dijon W2
Nantes W1
Lyon W4
Marseille W0
PSG W3
Thonon Evian W0
Paris FC W1
Lens W0
Semi-finals
Dijon W0
Lyon W4
PSG W3
Paris FC W0
Final
Lyon W1
PSG W0