Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paris FC W vs Nantes W

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Charlety, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mateo C.
Assist: Le Moguedec A.
13'
Rodrigues N.
42'
Pasquereau J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Paris FC W and Nantes W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nantes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paris FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paris FC W come out ahead of Nantes W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paris FC W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W Nantes W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Nantes W
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Paris FC W
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Nantes W
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Paris FC W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Saoud I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toloba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 85 / 100
Nantes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris FC W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nantes W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Paris FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS Nantes W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC W

(Home)
29 May
Lyon W
5 : 0
Paris FC W
16 May
Paris FC W
1 : 0
PSG W
06 May
Paris FC W
6 : 2
Lens W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
Montpellier W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
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Nantes W

(Away)
25 Jul
Nantes W
2 : 0
Le Havre W
16 May
Lyon W
8 : 0
Nantes W
06 May
Le Havre W
3 : 3
Nantes W
29 Apr
Nantes W
1 : 1
Lyon W
22 Apr
Marseille W
0 : 2
Nantes W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon W22193076:1160
2Paris FC W22153446:1648
3PSG W22152548:2647
4Nantes W22125542:3441
5Fleury 91 W2296727:2133
6Dijon W2296721:2833
7Strasbourg W22751026:3826
8Le Havre W22561125:4521
9Marseille W22541326:4419
10Montpellier W22431528:4515
11Lens W22431520:5015
12St Etienne W22341511:3813
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)