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Paris FC W vs Nantes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Charlety, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Jepsen C.
31'
Hocine C.
34'
Buabadi E.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Paris FC W and Nantes W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Paris FC W
30%
Draws
16%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paris FC W come out ahead of Nantes W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W Nantes W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Nantes W
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Nantes W
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Paris FC W
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Nantes W
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Paris FC W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baquerizo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nantes W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 30 / 100
Nantes W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paris FC W scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Nantes W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Paris FC W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS Nantes W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Nantes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)