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Paris FC W vs PSG W

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Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Charlety
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paris FC W play PSG W in the Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paris FC W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. PSG W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Paris FC W won 1, PSG W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Paris FC W and 1.19 for PSG W. This points to a PSG W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paris FC W
30%
Draws
34%
PSG W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • PSG W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paris FC W.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Paris FC W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 20%
PSG W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W PSG W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs PSG W
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Coupe de France Women
PSG W vs Paris FC W
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
PSG W vs Paris FC W
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs PSG W
0:3
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Paris FC W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangare H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

PSG W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 36 / 100
PSG W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W PSG W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris FC W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

PSG W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paris FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PSG W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS PSG W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lyon W8
Nantes W0
Paris FC W1
PSG W0
Final
Lyon W5
Paris FC W0