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Parla vs Atl. Madrid C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Rajado J.
38' Event
Munoz R.
42' Event
Esteban S.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Parla
20%
Draws
70%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C have won more games recently than Parla.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Madrid C's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.94 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Atl. Madrid C
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Parla
0:1
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Atl. Madrid C
1:0
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Parla
1:1
Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Atl. Madrid C
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rajado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Atl. Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid C conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Parla scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Parla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Atl. Madrid C
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

Atl. Madrid C

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)