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Parla vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
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Match Events

24' Event
Revilla S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Parla and Canillas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Parla
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Parla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Parla Clean Sheet 15%
Canillas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Canillas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Canillas
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Parla
3:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Canillas
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Parla
0:2
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Canillas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Revilla S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 31 / 100
Canillas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Canillas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Parla scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)