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Parla vs CD Mostoles

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Parla Logo

Parla

1 - 1
FT
CD Mostoles Logo

CD Mostoles

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Neves H.
58' Event
Washington A.
63' Event
Delgado J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Parla
30%
Draws
58%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Mostoles have won more games recently than Parla.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on CD Mostoles taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla CD Mostoles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs CD Mostoles
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Parla
3:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs CD Mostoles
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Parla
2:2
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs CD Mostoles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Washington A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
CD Mostoles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla CD Mostoles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Parla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Parla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS CD Mostoles
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

CD Mostoles

(Away)
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)