Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parla vs Ciudad de Madrid Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Criado H.
24' Event
Criado H.
90'
Arribas D.

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Madrid in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Parla
15%
Draws
0%
Ciudad de Madrid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parla lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Madrid.
  • Model gives Parla a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Parla Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Ciudad de Madrid
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Ciudad de Madrid
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Parla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Criado H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 95 / 100
Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Ciudad de Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Ciudad de Madrid registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Parla scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Ciudad de Madrid
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad de Madrid

(Away)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)