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Parla vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Parla Logo

Parla

3 - 4
FT
Tres Cantos Logo

Tres Cantos

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nieves E.
32' Event
Sanchez R.
37' Event
Nieves E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tres Cantos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tres Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Parla
15%
Draws
64%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tres Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Parla haven't matched Tres Cantos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tres Cantos a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tres Cantos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Tres Cantos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Tres Cantos
3:4
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Parla
3:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Tres Cantos
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Parla
3:1
Mar 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Parla
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Washington A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieves E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 22 / 100
Tres Cantos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tres Cantos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Parla scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Tres Cantos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Tres Cantos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Tres Cantos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)