Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parla vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Munoz R.
42'
Turegano J.
42'
Turegano J.

AI Match Summary

Parla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Parla
6%
Draws
90%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • Model gives Trival Valderas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 19
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.86 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Trival Valderas
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Migallon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Trival Valderas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Trival Valderas conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Parla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Trival Valderas
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Trival Valderas

(Away)
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)