Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parla vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Munoz R.
42'
Turegano J.
42'
Turegano J.

AI Match Summary

Parla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Parla
35%
Draws
56%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • Model gives Trival Valderas a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Trival Valderas
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Parla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Migallon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Trival Valderas Compare

Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Trival Valderas conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Parla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Trival Valderas
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 25%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Trival Valderas

(Away)
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)