Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma U19 vs Modena U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Zidouh T.
45' Event
Molara C.
65' Event
Gemello A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parma U19
15%
Draws
45%
Modena U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modena U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parma U19 lately — more wins on the board than Modena U19.
  • Model gives Parma U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Parma U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Parma U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Modena U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma U19 Modena U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Modena U19
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Primavera 2
Modena U19 vs Parma U19
0:4
Apr 18, 2015 Primavera - Group A
Modena U19 vs Parma U19
1:2
Nov 22, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Parma U19 vs Modena U19
2:0
Apr 12, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Parma U19 vs Modena U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gemello A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conde B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Modena U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zidouh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molara C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma U19 40 / 100
Modena U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma U19 Modena U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma U19 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Modena U19 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Parma U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Modena U19
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma U19

(Home)
20 May
Parma U19
2 : 3
Frosinone U19
10 May
Renate U19
1 : 0
Parma U19
03 May
Parma U19
2 : 1
Reggiana U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
19 Apr
Parma U19
4 : 1
FeralpiSalo U19
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Modena U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Modena U19
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli U19
30 May
Modena U19
2 : 3
AlbinoLeffe U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)