Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma U19 vs Padova U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nwajei M.
31' Event
Montrone A.
77' Event
Vranici D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2024/2025 game between Parma U19 and Padova U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parma U19
15%
Draws
45%
Padova U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padova U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parma U19 come out ahead of Padova U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parma U19 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Parma U19 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Parma U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Padova U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma U19 Padova U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Padova U19
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Parma U19
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Padova U19
4:0
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Parma U19
2:4
Feb 18, 2023 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Padova U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwajei M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Padova U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Montrone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma U19 36 / 100
Padova U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma U19 Padova U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma U19 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Padova U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Parma U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Padova U19
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma U19

(Home)
20 May
Parma U19
2 : 3
Frosinone U19
10 May
Renate U19
1 : 0
Parma U19
03 May
Parma U19
2 : 1
Reggiana U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
19 Apr
Parma U19
4 : 1
FeralpiSalo U19
Page 1 of 6

Padova U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Udinese U19
0 : 4
Padova U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
23 May
Venezia U19
0 : 1
Padova U19
16 May
Padova U19
1 : 1
Venezia U19
09 May
Padova U19
3 : 1
Udinese U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)