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Parma vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parma host AS Roma in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Parma have averaged 0.71 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against AS Roma's 2.41 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor AS Roma slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.75) point toward AS Roma. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Parma
20%
Draws
61%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • AS Roma have won more games recently than Parma.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Parma Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma AS Roma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.71 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs AS Roma
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Parma
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs AS Roma
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Parma
5:0
Mar 14, 2021 Serie A
Parma vs AS Roma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 10 / 100
AS Roma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Parma's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AS Roma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Parma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS AS Roma
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
19 Oct
Parma
0 : 3
Torino
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5
AS Roma
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
5 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
17 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)