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Parma vs Bologna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parma host Bologna in the Serie A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bologna have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Parma have conceded 1.36 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, Parma have won 2 to Bologna's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.75) point toward Bologna. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Parma
20%
Draws
57%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bologna lately — more wins on the board than Parma.
  • Bologna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Parma Clean Sheet 12%
Bologna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Bologna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Parma
0:1
Dec 4, 2025 Coppa Italia
Bologna vs Parma
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Bologna
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Bologna
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Parma
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 10 / 100
Bologna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parma scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Bologna let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Parma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Bologna
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
19 Oct
Parma
0 : 3
Torino
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
Page 1 of 6

Bologna

(Away)
28 Oct
AC Milan
2 : 4
Bologna
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25:10 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16:22 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
18 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
19 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)