Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Pedro J.
58'
Fazzini J.
66'
Sub
Bernabe A. In: Almqvist P.
Out: Bernabe A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Parma and Cagliari finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Parma
20%
Draws
16%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cagliari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Parma's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cagliari have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Parma Clean Sheet 68%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Cagliari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Parma
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Parma
2:1
Sep 30, 2024 Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 77 / 100
Cagliari 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cagliari conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Cagliari has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Cagliari
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
02 Nov
Atalanta
0 : 3
Parma
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
19 Oct
Parma
0 : 3
Torino
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 6

Cagliari

(Away)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Venezia 11 2 0 9 8:21 6
20 Udinese 11 1 2 8 12:25 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)