Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Tue, Sep 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia. This one's hard to separate. Cremonese have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Parma have conceded 1.17 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Parma have won 1 to Cremonese's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 0.94) point toward Parma. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Parma
35%
Draws
38%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Parma have won more games recently than Cremonese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Parma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cremonese, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Parma Clean Sheet 20%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Cremonese
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Cremonese
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A
Cremonese vs Parma
0:0
May 5, 2024 Serie B
Parma vs Cremonese
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie B
Cremonese vs Parma
1:2
Feb 15, 2022 Serie B
Cremonese vs Parma
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 32 / 100
Cremonese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cremonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Parma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Cremonese
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2
Sampdoria
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese

(Away)
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1
Cremonese
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova -
Palermo -
Torino -
Monza -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Parma -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari -
Verona -
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
Frosinone -
Udinese -
Venezia -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -