Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Robinson J.
Assist: Mangas R.
42'
Folorunsho M.
46'
Sub
Diego Carlos In: Valenti L.
Out: Diego Carlos

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Parma
20%
Draws
51%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma haven't matched Monza's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Parma Clean Sheet 13%
Monza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Monza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Monza
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Parma
1:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Parma vs Monza
2:1
Mar 2, 2022 Serie B
Monza vs Parma
1:1
Oct 17, 2021 Serie B
Parma vs Monza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Lontani S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 35 / 100
Monza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parma scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Monza let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Parma has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Monza
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 6

Monza

(Away)
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)