Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Strefezza G.
Assist: Elphege N.
46'
46'
Sub
Juan Jesus In: Beukema S.
Out: Juan Jesus
56'
56'
Sub
Anguissa F. In: Alisson Santos
Out: Anguissa F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and Napoli finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Napoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Napoli come out ahead of Parma on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Parma Clean Sheet 18%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parma | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Napoli
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Parma
0:0
May 18, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Napoli
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Parma
2:1
Jan 31, 2021 Serie A
Napoli vs Parma
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Parma Compare
Top Goalscorer Strefezza G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer McTominay S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Parma 32 / 100
Napoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Parma Napoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Parma scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Napoli conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Parma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Parma VS Napoli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Parma
(Home) 09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2 Sampdoria
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1 Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1 Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1 Parma
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2 Sampdoria
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1 Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
24 May
Parma
1 : 0 Sassuolo
10 May
Parma
2 : 3 AS Roma
Page 1 of 3
Napoli
(Away) 08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1 Osasuna
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0 Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3 Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0 Udinese
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3 Napoli
02 May
Como
0 : 0 Napoli
12 Apr
Parma
1 : 1 Napoli
20 Mar
Cagliari
0 : 1 Napoli
28 Feb
Verona
1 : 2 Napoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)
