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Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Britschgi S.
18'
Thorstvedt K.
21'
Macchioni T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and Sassuolo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Parma
20%
Draws
57%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo come out ahead of Parma on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sassuolo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parma Clean Sheet 16%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Sassuolo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Parma
0:1
May 24, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Sassuolo
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Parma
1:1
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Parma vs Sassuolo
1:0
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Parma vs Sassuolo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sassuolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 23 / 100
Sassuolo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Parma's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Parma has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Sassuolo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 6

Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)