Sport Picks

Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma

1 - 0

Sassuolo

Our Tip

Match Events

Britschgi S.

18'

Thorstvedt K.

21'

Macchioni T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and Sassuolo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Parma

20%

Draws

38%

Sassuolo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Parma come out ahead of Sassuolo on wins alone.
Win probability leans Parma's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Parma Clean Sheet 17%

Sassuolo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parma	Sassuolo
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A

Parma vs Sassuolo

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Jan 3, 2026 Serie A

Sassuolo vs Parma

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly

Parma vs Sassuolo

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly

Parma vs Sassuolo

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

0:3

May 16, 2021 Serie A

Parma vs Sassuolo

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Sassuolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 41 / 100

Sassuolo 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parma Sassuolo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Parma's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sassuolo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Sassuolo

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	89:35	87
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	58:36	76
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	71
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	53:35	70
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	61:34	69
7	Atalanta	38	15	14	9	51:36	59
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	49:46	56
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	41:40	54
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	45:48	50
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	46:50	49
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	44:63	45
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	45
14	Cagliari	38	11	10	17	40:53	43
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	41:50	42
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	41
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	28:50	38
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	32:57	34
19	Verona	38	3	12	23	25:61	21
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	26:71	18