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Stadium Background

Parma vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Britschgi S.
18'
Thorstvedt K.
21'
Macchioni T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and Sassuolo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Parma
30%
Draws
34%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Sassuolo are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Parma's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Parma Clean Sheet 20%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Sassuolo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Sassuolo
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Parma
1:1
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Parma vs Sassuolo
1:0
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Parma vs Sassuolo
0:3
May 16, 2021 Serie A
Parma vs Sassuolo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sassuolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 36 / 100
Sassuolo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Parma's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sassuolo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Sassuolo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Como
1 : 0
Parma
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
03 May
Inter
2 : 0
Parma
25 Apr
Parma
1 : 0
Pisa
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Sassuolo

(Away)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
08 May
Torino
2 : 1
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)