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Stadium Background

Parma W vs Fiorentina W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Dominguez L.
51' Event
Severini E.
(Penalty)
56'
Snerle E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Parma W
22%
Draws
60%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Parma W haven't matched Fiorentina W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fiorentina W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parma W Clean Sheet 19%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
1:1
Dec 10, 2022 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
0:4
Sep 18, 2022 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Distefano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fiorentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 20 / 100
Fiorentina W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Parma W scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Parma W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Fiorentina W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
01 Aug
Parma W
2 : 0
Lumezzane W
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Como W
1 : 1
Parma W
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Fiorentina W

(Away)
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
03 May
Fiorentina W
1 : 0
Como W
26 Apr
Ternana W
2 : 2
Fiorentina W
04 Apr
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Juventus W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)