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Parma W vs Lazio W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Prugna C.
Assist: Redondo C.
21' Event
Monnecchi M.
34'
Castiello A.

AI Match Summary

Lazio W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Parma W
20%
Draws
51%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio W lately — more wins on the board than Parma W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Parma W Clean Sheet 12%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Lazio W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
0:0
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prugna C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monnecchi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Visentin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 30 / 100
Lazio W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lazio W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Parma W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Parma W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Lazio W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
21 Aug
Parma W
0 : 1
Inter W
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Lazio W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)