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Stadium Background

Parma W vs Lazio W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Prugna C.
Assist: Redondo C.
21' Event
Monnecchi M.
34'
Castiello A.

AI Match Summary

Lazio W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Parma W
6%
Draws
4%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio W lately — more wins on the board than Parma W.
  • Win probability leans Parma W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Parma W Clean Sheet 15%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Lazio W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 12 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
3:1
May 19, 2024 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prugna C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monnecchi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Visentin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 84 / 100
Lazio W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lazio W conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Lazio W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Parma W scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Lazio W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
05 Aug
Parma W
8 : 1
Wacker Innsbruck W
01 Aug
Parma W
2 : 0
Lumezzane W
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
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Lazio W

(Away)
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
10 May
Lazio W
2 : 0
Ternana W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Lazio W
0 : 3
Sassuolo W
04 Apr
Inter W
5 : 2
Lazio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)